Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Eichel 45.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 81.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 70.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Eichel
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Eichel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
McDavid
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
46.4% (730)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
40.3% (62)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
42.2% (116)
-5.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
51.8% (415)
44.0% (457)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.0% (451)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
47.5%
45.1%
P2
51.6%
46.5%
P3
55.5%
45.3%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |