Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Hughes 37.9% (+16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 97.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 89.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
McDavid
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
McDavid
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
34.9% (444)
+16.6%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
50.0% (14)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
33.3% (6)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hughes
Home
50.7% (513)
37.4% (235)
Away
53.2% (498)
33.2% (229)
By Period
McDavid
Hughes
P1
52.3%
37.1%
P2
51.6%
33.7%
P3
51.7%
34.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |