Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Hughes 40.3% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 66.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 93.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 90.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
McDavid
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
McDavid
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
35.6% (281)
+16.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
50.0% (36)
+0.0%
On even strength, McDavid has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hughes
Home
51.8% (415)
38.4% (198)
Away
50.4% (450)
35.3% (119)
By Period
McDavid
Hughes
P1
47.5%
44.3%
P2
51.6%
34.2%
P3
55.5%
34.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |