Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Hughes 39.2% (+10.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 57.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McDavid
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
37.9% (623)
+9.8%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
33.3% (33)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
36.4% (11)
-14.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hughes
Home
47.3% (387)
36.6% (314)
Away
48.1% (389)
38.5% (353)
By Period
McDavid
Hughes
P1
47.6%
36.4%
P2
50.0%
35.6%
P3
45.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%