Connor McDavid vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Kotkaniemi 48.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 56.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: McDavid 3-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
4
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
46.3% (467)
+2.8%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
55.7% (79)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
100.0% (3)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
McDavid shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.1% (330)
51.0% (243)
Away
42.5% (308)
45.4% (306)
By Period
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.2%
48.8%
P2
47.4%
51.2%
P3
53.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |