Connor McDavid vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 52.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 65.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
4
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
6
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
49.0% (3,852)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
51.3% (351)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
45.7% (35)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Home
49.3% (4,570)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.5%
49.9%
P2
48.7%
50.4%
P3
48.3%
47.2%
OT
40.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |