Connor McDavid vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 58.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
51.8% (637)
-0.3%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
48.2% (56)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
42.9% (7)
+8.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.7% (513)
53.1% (339)
Away
53.2% (498)
49.9% (361)
By Period
McDavid
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.3%
48.3%
P2
51.6%
55.0%
P3
51.7%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |