Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Tavares 54.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 68.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 68.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
McDavid
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McDavid
Tavares
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
McDavid
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
54.8% (861)
-7.9%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
57.5% (226)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
51.7% (29)
-6.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
McDavid shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
McDavid
Tavares
Home
49.9% (353)
58.1% (559)
Away
45.4% (317)
52.4% (557)
By Period
McDavid
Tavares
P1
46.6%
57.6%
P2
50.9%
55.5%
P3
45.9%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |