Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Tavares 59.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
McDavid
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
60.9% (1,043)
-6.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
60.4% (278)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
47.6% (21)
-14.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
McDavid
Tavares
Home
53.6% (507)
63.5% (684)
Away
53.8% (539)
57.6% (658)
By Period
McDavid
Tavares
P1
52.6%
60.3%
P2
54.1%
60.4%
P3
54.9%
60.1%
OT
44.4%
92.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |