Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 61.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
McDavid
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McDavid
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
McDavid
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
56.3% (1,115)
-4.8%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
61.2% (67)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
52.1% (292)
-0.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
McDavid
Staal
Home
50.7% (513)
58.3% (705)
Away
53.2% (498)
53.3% (769)
By Period
McDavid
Staal
P1
52.3%
54.5%
P2
51.6%
58.2%
P3
51.7%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |