Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Norris 52.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 56.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McDavid
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
McDavid
Norris
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
McDavid
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Norris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
6
8
McDavid
Norris
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
53.4% (635)
-4.3%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
50.0% (70)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
26.3% (19)
-26.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
McDavid shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
McDavid
Norris
Home
56.1% (330)
52.7% (366)
Away
42.5% (308)
52.0% (358)
By Period
McDavid
Norris
P1
49.2%
50.4%
P2
47.4%
53.9%
P3
53.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |