Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Norris 52.9% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 66.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
McDavid
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
63.9% (36)
-12.4%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
50.0% (2)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
47.4% (19)
+3.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
McDavid
Norris
Home
50.7% (513)
62.2% (37)
Away
53.2% (498)
50.0% (20)
By Period
McDavid
Norris
P1
52.3%
64.3%
P2
51.6%
59.1%
P3
51.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%