Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Norris 51.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 52.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
McDavid
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McDavid
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
52.2% (542)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
54.4% (57)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
46.7% (30)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
McDavid
Norris
Home
51.8% (415)
50.7% (351)
Away
50.4% (450)
54.0% (278)
By Period
McDavid
Norris
P1
47.5%
55.6%
P2
51.6%
49.3%
P3
55.5%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |