Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Norris 49.7% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
McDavid
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
50.0% (356)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
48.7% (76)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
42.9% (7)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
McDavid
Norris
Home
50.2% (400)
47.2% (193)
Away
44.7% (365)
51.6% (246)
By Period
McDavid
Norris
P1
47.5%
53.8%
P2
48.6%
48.2%
P3
46.7%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%