Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
McDavid
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
58.6% (273)
-7.1%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
66.7% (3)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
43.3% (67)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
McDavid
Jankowski
Home
50.7% (513)
54.7% (128)
Away
53.2% (498)
56.3% (215)
By Period
McDavid
Jankowski
P1
52.3%
54.5%
P2
51.6%
56.5%
P3
51.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%