Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Jankowski 50.5% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 67.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 52.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McDavid
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
51.3% (347)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
72.7% (11)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
44.0% (75)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
McDavid
Jankowski
Home
47.3% (387)
46.8% (188)
Away
48.1% (389)
53.5% (245)
By Period
McDavid
Jankowski
P1
47.6%
51.6%
P2
50.0%
49.3%
P3
45.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%