Connor McDavid vs Mark Jankowski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 69.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 60.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
McDavid
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
McDavid
Jankowski
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Jankowski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
McDavid
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
McDavid
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
51.5% (3,462)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
53.7% (95)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
42.8% (528)
+0.6%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
McDavid
Jankowski
Home
49.3% (4,570)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
McDavid
Jankowski
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
48.7%
51.2%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
OT
40.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |