Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Jankowski 50.2% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 56.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
McDavid
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
49.3% (134)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
61.9% (21)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
McDavid
Jankowski
Home
51.8% (415)
54.2% (72)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.3% (91)
By Period
McDavid
Jankowski
P1
47.5%
54.2%
P2
51.6%
42.4%
P3
55.5%
55.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%