Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
McDavid
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
McDavid
Scheifele
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
3
McDavid
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
49.3% (649)
+5.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
55.7% (183)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.0% (16)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
McDavid
Scheifele
Home
53.6% (507)
52.3% (440)
Away
53.8% (539)
49.0% (408)
By Period
McDavid
Scheifele
P1
52.6%
52.3%
P2
54.1%
50.4%
P3
54.9%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |