Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Scheifele 49.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 56.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
McDavid
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McDavid
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
3
McDavid
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
48.7% (981)
-1.0%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
53.2% (250)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
43.2% (37)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
McDavid
Scheifele
Home
47.3% (387)
50.0% (672)
Away
48.1% (389)
48.8% (596)
By Period
McDavid
Scheifele
P1
47.6%
51.4%
P2
50.0%
45.1%
P3
45.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |