Connor McDavid vs Mark Scheifele
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 46.8%). Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 46 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 78-78 in 156 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 51.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
McDavid
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
78
-
78
(156 meetings)
78
78
McDavid
Scheifele
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
22
25
McDavid
Scheifele
47 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
27
19
McDavid
Scheifele
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
29
34
McDavid
Scheifele
63 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
46.3% (12,036)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
50.2% (2,563)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
41.6% (598)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
McDavid
Scheifele
Home
49.3% (4,570)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
McDavid
Scheifele
P1
46.5%
48.2%
P2
48.7%
45.6%
P3
48.3%
46.8%
OT
40.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |