Connor McDavid vs Mikael Backlund
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Backlund 48.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 86.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 70.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
McDavid
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
McDavid
Backlund
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
McDavid
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
5
McDavid
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
47.3% (1,070)
-4.0%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
62.1% (140)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
43.9% (269)
-2.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backlund
Home
48.7% (413)
49.1% (768)
Away
37.4% (393)
47.0% (711)
By Period
McDavid
Backlund
P1
38.8%
46.8%
P2
46.8%
47.5%
P3
44.2%
49.3%
OT
45.5%
59.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2017 | OT | 04:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | OT | 02:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |