Connor McDavid vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Backlund 48.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
McDavid
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McDavid
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McDavid
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McDavid
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
50.4% (1,032)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
52.3% (107)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
40.6% (313)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backlund
Home
47.3% (387)
48.7% (749)
Away
48.1% (389)
48.1% (703)
By Period
McDavid
Backlund
P1
47.6%
50.4%
P2
50.0%
50.1%
P3
45.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |