Connor McDavid vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.3%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
McDavid
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
McDavid
Backlund
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
4
McDavid
Backlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
7
McDavid
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
5
McDavid
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
51.0% (1,205)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
59.3% (108)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
42.3% (234)
-5.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backlund
Home
51.8% (415)
51.2% (782)
Away
50.4% (450)
49.4% (765)
By Period
McDavid
Backlund
P1
47.5%
51.5%
P2
51.6%
49.8%
P3
55.5%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |