Connor McDavid vs Mikael Backlund
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Backlund 50.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
McDavid
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
McDavid
Backlund
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
7
McDavid
Backlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
51.5% (983)
+2.8%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
49.4% (87)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
45.3% (159)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backlund
Home
53.6% (507)
51.6% (653)
Away
53.8% (539)
49.3% (576)
By Period
McDavid
Backlund
P1
52.6%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
49.8%
P3
54.9%
51.7%
OT
44.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |