Connor McDavid vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Backlund 50.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
McDavid
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
McDavid
Backlund
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
McDavid
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
McDavid
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
McDavid
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
51.9% (1,083)
-0.4%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
51.7% (120)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
44.3% (183)
+6.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backlund
Home
50.7% (513)
51.9% (673)
Away
53.2% (498)
49.9% (713)
By Period
McDavid
Backlund
P1
52.3%
51.4%
P2
51.6%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |