Connor McDavid vs Mikael Backlund

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 51.8% vs Backlund 50.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Backlund 56.9%
Defensive zone Backlund 58.3%
Neutral zone Backlund 55.6%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
McDavid Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 10 (12 meetings)
2
10
McDavid Backlund
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
McDavid Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
McDavid Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
McDavid Backlund
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
51.9% (1,083)
-0.4%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
51.7% (120)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
44.3% (183)
+6.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +12.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backlund
Home
50.7% (513)
51.9% (673)
Away
53.2% (498)
49.9% (713)
By Period
McDavid
Backlund
P1
52.3%
51.4%
P2
51.6%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
51.9%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
50.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 27, 2022 3 19:38 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 27, 2022 3 14:39 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 27, 2022 3 06:45 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 27, 2022 3 00:37 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 27, 2022 1 11:18 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 27, 2022 1 11:07 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 27, 2022 1 01:07 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 27, 2022 1 00:59 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Oct 29, 2022 3 12:03 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Oct 29, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Oct 29, 2022 2 17:13 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 29, 2022 2 07:45 Offensive Mikael Backlund