Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 59.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
McDavid
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McDavid
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
McDavid
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
55.9% (245)
-1.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
0.0% (3)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
57.1% (7)
-23.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bjugstad
Home
53.6% (507)
53.2% (111)
Away
53.8% (539)
56.9% (144)
By Period
McDavid
Bjugstad
P1
52.6%
44.6%
P2
54.1%
61.4%
P3
54.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |