Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Foligno 51.8% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
McDavid
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
58.1% (31)
-3.8%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.0% (2)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.0% (6)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
McDavid
Foligno
Home
53.6% (507)
56.3% (16)
Away
53.8% (539)
56.5% (23)
By Period
McDavid
Foligno
P1
52.6%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
66.7%
P3
54.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%