Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Foligno 52.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 61.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
McDavid
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
53.4% (249)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
53.2% (154)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
40.6% (32)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
McDavid
Foligno
Home
51.8% (415)
57.3% (225)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.1% (210)
By Period
McDavid
Foligno
P1
47.5%
53.0%
P2
51.6%
51.8%
P3
55.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |