Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Foligno 52.3% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 60.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
McDavid
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
52.0% (50)
-0.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
66.7% (21)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
0.0% (1)
+51.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
McDavid
Foligno
Home
50.7% (513)
51.2% (41)
Away
53.2% (498)
61.3% (31)
By Period
McDavid
Foligno
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
51.6%
48.0%
P3
51.7%
65.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%