Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 58.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
McDavid
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
42.9% (133)
+11.4%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
55.1% (89)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
47.1% (17)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
McDavid
Schmaltz
Home
53.6% (507)
41.6% (125)
Away
53.8% (539)
54.4% (114)
By Period
McDavid
Schmaltz
P1
52.6%
40.0%
P2
54.1%
59.5%
P3
54.9%
45.0%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |