Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.0% vs Hischier 45.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 58.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
McDavid
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
McDavid
Hischier
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
45.1% (879)
+1.8%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
50.0% (68)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
36.8% (19)
+7.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McDavid is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (588).
McDavid shoots left. Hischier is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hischier
Home
47.9% (478)
42.7% (499)
Away
45.2% (440)
48.0% (467)
By Period
McDavid
Hischier
P1
45.9%
48.2%
P2
47.7%
40.7%
P3
46.6%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |