Connor McDavid vs Nico Hischier

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Hischier holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.9% vs Hischier 54.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Hischier 58.7%
Defensive zone Hischier 72.0%
Neutral zone Hischier 64.3%
Result Nico Hischier favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
McDavid Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 8 (17 meetings)
9
8
McDavid Hischier
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Hischier

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
4
McDavid Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
McDavid Hischier
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
55.0% (1,107)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
63.1% (252)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
43.6% (149)
+2.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hischier
Home
50.2% (400)
56.5% (763)
Away
44.7% (365)
54.0% (745)
By Period
McDavid
Hischier
P1
47.5%
56.0%
P2
48.6%
57.6%
P3
46.7%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.6%
Hischier
50.0%
56.0%
55.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 20, 2026 3 05:31 Defensive Nico Hischier
Jan 20, 2026 3 05:23 Defensive Nico Hischier
Jan 20, 2026 3 02:04 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 20, 2026 3 00:41 Offensive Nico Hischier
Jan 20, 2026 3 00:36 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 20, 2026 2 14:43 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 20, 2026 2 14:10 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 20, 2026 2 09:52 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 20, 2026 2 08:32 Neutral Nico Hischier
Jan 20, 2026 2 06:10 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 20, 2026 2 01:00 Defensive Nico Hischier
Jan 20, 2026 1 04:11 Defensive Connor McDavid
Oct 18, 2025 3 15:31 Defensive Connor McDavid
Oct 18, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Nico Hischier
Oct 18, 2025 2 15:37 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 18, 2025 1 09:49 Neutral Nico Hischier
Oct 18, 2025 1 04:59 Defensive Nico Hischier