Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Hischier 53.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 64.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
McDavid
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McDavid
Hischier
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
52.4% (1,185)
-0.9%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
57.8% (315)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
57.1% (154)
-5.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hischier
Home
50.7% (513)
53.4% (844)
Away
53.2% (498)
54.3% (810)
By Period
McDavid
Hischier
P1
52.3%
49.7%
P2
51.6%
54.6%
P3
51.7%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
65.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |