Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Hischier 56.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 61.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 62.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
McDavid
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McDavid
Hischier
Last 7: McDavid 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
56.1% (1,018)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
59.9% (289)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
51.3% (80)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hischier
Home
51.8% (415)
56.5% (706)
Away
50.4% (450)
56.7% (681)
By Period
McDavid
Hischier
P1
47.5%
54.8%
P2
51.6%
57.8%
P3
55.5%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |