Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Hischier 51.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 58.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 58.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
McDavid
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
McDavid
Hischier
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
5
McDavid
Hischier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
6
McDavid
Hischier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
51.0% (1,011)
+3.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
58.2% (261)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
47.7% (130)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hischier
Home
53.6% (507)
52.8% (665)
Away
53.8% (539)
51.4% (737)
By Period
McDavid
Hischier
P1
52.6%
53.8%
P2
54.1%
53.8%
P3
54.9%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
35.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |