Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Roy 51.9% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 73.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McDavid
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
51.9% (547)
-4.4%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
54.1% (37)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
53.3% (92)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McDavid is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McDavid shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
McDavid
Roy
Home
50.2% (400)
54.0% (328)
Away
44.7% (365)
50.6% (348)
By Period
McDavid
Roy
P1
47.5%
53.5%
P2
48.6%
51.6%
P3
46.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%