Connor McDavid vs Nicolas Roy

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Roy 48.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 64.6%
Defensive zone Roy 69.7%
Neutral zone Roy 52.0%
Result Nicolas Roy favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
McDavid Roy
Head-to-Head Record
21 - 15 (36 meetings)
21
15
McDavid Roy
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Roy

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
3
McDavid Roy
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
7
McDavid Roy
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
9
5
McDavid Roy
14 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
48.7% (3,719)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
49.5% (283)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
45.5% (477)
-2.1%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Roy shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
McDavid
Roy
Home
49.3% (4,570)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
McDavid
Roy
P1
46.5%
50.8%
P2
48.7%
46.3%
P3
48.3%
48.1%
OT
40.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
47.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%
Roy
46.0%
49.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 14, 2024 2 19:32 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Dec 14, 2024 1 11:42 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Dec 3, 2024 2 14:15 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 6, 2024 3 10:05 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 6, 2024 3 03:22 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 6, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Nicolas Roy
Nov 6, 2024 2 16:22 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 6, 2024 2 06:11 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 6, 2024 2 03:15 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Feb 6, 2024 1 13:44 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 28, 2023 2 05:51 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 28, 2023 2 05:48 Offensive Nicolas Roy
Nov 28, 2023 1 18:31 Offensive Nicolas Roy
Mar 28, 2023 3 09:43 Neutral Nicolas Roy
Mar 28, 2023 3 05:54 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Mar 28, 2023 2 07:20 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 28, 2023 2 07:10 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 28, 2023 2 04:09 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 28, 2023 1 07:51 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Mar 25, 2023 1 03:34 Neutral Connor McDavid