Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.6% vs Greig 51.2% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 59.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
McDavid
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (540)
50.5% (275)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
69.6% (23)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
49.2% (65)
+3.4%
On power play, Greig has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. McDavid is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (454).
McDavid shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
McDavid
Greig
Home
49.8% (325)
50.2% (209)
Away
44.6% (316)
53.2% (154)
By Period
McDavid
Greig
P1
46.2%
43.9%
P2
48.6%
60.2%
P3
47.1%
50.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.3%
Greig
48.0%▬
48.0%
51.5%