Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Greig 53.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 62.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
McDavid
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
McDavid
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
53.6% (280)
-5.9%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
61.3% (31)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
56.5% (69)
-34.3%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
McDavid
Greig
Home
47.3% (387)
56.2% (185)
Away
48.1% (389)
53.3% (195)
By Period
McDavid
Greig
P1
47.6%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
51.6%
P3
45.0%
59.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |