Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Greig 44.5% (+12.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
McDavid
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
38.8% (103)
+12.7%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
60.0% (5)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
0.0% (1)
+51.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
McDavid
Greig
Home
50.7% (513)
37.7% (53)
Away
53.2% (498)
41.1% (56)
By Period
McDavid
Greig
P1
52.3%
41.7%
P2
51.6%
39.3%
P3
51.7%
37.8%
Final 5 min
56.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%