Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.0%). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Hintz 52.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 59.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
McDavid
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McDavid
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
McDavid
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
52.9% (526)
+1.4%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
57.4% (108)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
42.5% (40)
-9.2%
On power play, Hintz has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hintz
Home
53.6% (507)
53.8% (329)
Away
53.8% (539)
52.2% (345)
By Period
McDavid
Hintz
P1
52.6%
55.6%
P2
54.1%
53.0%
P3
54.9%
51.7%
OT
44.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |