Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Hintz 55.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 72.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 72.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
McDavid
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McDavid
Hintz
Last 7: McDavid 2-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
McDavid
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
McDavid
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
56.3% (512)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
63.3% (30)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
45.8% (24)
-9.4%
On power play, Hintz has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hintz
Home
51.8% (415)
57.3% (262)
Away
50.4% (450)
55.3% (304)
By Period
McDavid
Hintz
P1
47.5%
54.8%
P2
51.6%
56.0%
P3
55.5%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |