Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.0%). Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Hintz 51.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 52.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 70.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
McDavid
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McDavid
Hintz
Last 8: McDavid 3-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
McDavid
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
52.6% (439)
-1.1%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
37.9% (29)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
63.6% (11)
-12.4%
On power play, McDavid has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hintz
Home
50.7% (513)
53.5% (256)
Away
53.2% (498)
50.2% (223)
By Period
McDavid
Hintz
P1
52.3%
59.5%
P2
51.6%
49.2%
P3
51.7%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |