Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hintz 54.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McDavid
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
McDavid
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
53.6% (711)
-5.9%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
53.8% (93)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
58.7% (46)
-36.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hintz
Home
47.3% (387)
52.6% (460)
Away
48.1% (389)
55.4% (390)
By Period
McDavid
Hintz
P1
47.6%
59.0%
P2
50.0%
52.7%
P3
45.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |