Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 70.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 62.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
McDavid
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
McDavid
Hartman
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
44.8% (936)
+9.5%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
49.4% (154)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
33.3% (54)
+0.0%
On even strength, McDavid has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hartman
Home
53.6% (507)
47.4% (568)
Away
53.8% (539)
42.4% (576)
By Period
McDavid
Hartman
P1
52.6%
47.2%
P2
54.1%
43.4%
P3
54.9%
43.8%
OT
44.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |