Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Hartman 44.0% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
McDavid
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
42.6% (495)
+8.9%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
38.5% (26)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
48.8% (43)
+2.4%
On power play, McDavid has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hartman
Home
50.7% (513)
43.4% (288)
Away
53.2% (498)
42.4% (276)
By Period
McDavid
Hartman
P1
52.3%
43.1%
P2
51.6%
43.4%
P3
51.7%
42.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%