Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 56.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 56.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
McDavid
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
McDavid
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
48.0% (275)
+6.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
48.1% (52)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
53.1% (32)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
McDavid
Reinhart
Home
53.6% (507)
49.8% (201)
Away
53.8% (539)
46.8% (158)
By Period
McDavid
Reinhart
P1
52.6%
54.8%
P2
54.1%
40.5%
P3
54.9%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |