Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.6% vs Reinhart 43.4% (+8.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.9%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McDavid
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (540)
38.9% (72)
+7.4%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
35.7% (42)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
42.9% (21)
+9.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McDavid is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McDavid shoots left. Reinhart is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
McDavid
Reinhart
Home
49.8% (325)
34.7% (75)
Away
44.6% (316)
43.3% (60)
By Period
McDavid
Reinhart
P1
46.2%
43.9%
P2
48.6%
32.6%
P3
47.1%
39.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.3%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%