Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McDavid
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
39.0% (77)
+8.5%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
35.4% (48)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
40.9% (22)
+5.6%
On power play, McDavid has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McDavid is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McDavid shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
McDavid
Reinhart
Home
50.2% (400)
35.7% (84)
Away
44.7% (365)
41.3% (63)
By Period
McDavid
Reinhart
P1
47.5%
42.6%
P2
48.6%
34.7%
P3
46.7%
37.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%