Connor McDavid vs Sam Reinhart

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor Reinhart leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 52.2%
Defensive zone McDavid 51.4%
Neutral zone McDavid 50.8%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McDavid Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 6 (12 meetings)
6
6
McDavid Reinhart
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Reinhart

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
3
McDavid Reinhart
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
3
McDavid Reinhart
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
42.5% (2,173)
+5.2%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
46.5% (525)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
41.3% (339)
+2.1%
On power play, McDavid has a +5.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
McDavid
Reinhart
Home
49.3% (4,570)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
McDavid
Reinhart
P1
46.5%
44.5%
P2
48.7%
40.5%
P3
48.3%
44.5%
OT
40.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.1%
42.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%
Reinhart
40.0%
39.0%
43.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 27, 2025 3 05:48 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 27, 2025 2 19:06 Offensive Sam Reinhart
Feb 27, 2025 1 18:42 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 27, 2025 1 06:16 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2024 2 11:46 Defensive Sam Reinhart
Dec 16, 2024 2 05:10 Offensive Sam Reinhart
Dec 16, 2024 2 03:27 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2024 1 09:40 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2023 2 07:50 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 28, 2022 3 04:24 Defensive Sam Reinhart
Nov 28, 2022 1 00:42 Offensive Sam Reinhart
Feb 26, 2022 1 09:28 Defensive Sam Reinhart